The New Carry Trade: How Yuan-Denominated Lending Is Rewiring Emerging Market Debt
For two decades the dollar carried the burden of cross-border lending. A quiet reordering is underway — Chinese banks now intermediate roughly 38% of new emerging-market sovereign facilities, and the pricing curve no longer follows the Fed. We unpack the mechanism, the beneficiaries, and the three stress tests that will determine if the regime holds.
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